There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

The yield curve shows the relationship between yields and time to maturity for comparable debt securities. In practice, the term usually refers to securities issued within a single market segment so ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Global Investor and educator focused on strategies to build wealth. A quietly steepening European yield curve signals opportunity ...

I want to start today by thanking Seeking Alpha for giving me the opportunity to be the first person interviewed for the new Seeking Alpha Interview series. It was a pleasure to do, and I enjoyed ...