Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...

The Treasury bond yield curve spells trouble for the U.S. economy (and stock market). Federal Reserve monetary policy suggests the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are still a long way from a ...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite have taken investors on a two-year roller-coaster ride. Hedge fund ownership of S&P 500 futures offers a big clue as to where the ...

As I write this, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has fallen below 3.8% as global markets tumble on growing recession fears. Investors rushed into the perceived safety of government debt after Friday ...

Since the recent US government shutdown may prevent the release of the October inflation and labor market data, inflation proxies are considered here to assess what the Fed would do next. September's ...