Prediction market flashes a stock market correction warning. History says the S&P 500 may drop even further in 2026

Prediction market traders expect an S&P 500 correction in 2026, but history says the stock market could drop even more ...

Probability underlies much of the modern world – an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

Federal Reserve Says Prediction Markets Are a Valuable Tool for Policymakers

If you're not a Federal Reserve economist, you should probably still be wary of Kalshi.
Forbes

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...
Decrypt

Fed Economists Praise Prediction Markets as States Step Up Enforcement

Research is casting prediction markets as policy-relevant forecasting tools just as state regulators escalate efforts to ...

Prosper Insights & Analytics Releases Special Report Comparing Prediction Markets to Consumer-Driven Economic Forecasts

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...
Techopedia

Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks: Which Is Best for You?

Are prediction markets more profitable than sportsbooks? Compare pricing, probability, and strategy to find where the real betting value lies.
Forbes

Predictive AI Only Works If Stakeholders Tune This Dial

Machine learning models can drive business operations to great benefit. But, to get there, stakeholders must determine how model probabilities trigger actions. The number crunching can't determine it ...